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Money Podcast - MP3 - Mad Money Machine

Lazy Portfolios Thru August 2010

Wednesday, September 01, 2010 8:58:37 AM
The Permanent Portfolio style lazy portfolios continue to do well. Listed below is a table of YTD results for 25 portfolios or funds that I am tracking. The contents of each portfolio are listed in an earlier post. The Paul Boyer Permanent Portfolio continues its lead, having returned 9.8% so far in 2010. It differs [...]

The Siren Songs of Active Management

Tuesday, August 03, 2010 3:30:17 PM

Lazy Portfolios Through July 2010

Saturday, July 31, 2010 9:56:24 AM
The permanent portfolios continue to do well. See previous posts for full details about the contents of each lazy portfolio. The Paul Boyer Permanent Portfolio has risen 1% per month so far with small volatility. 12.5% VBR, 12.5% VWO, 25% TLT, 25%, GLD, and 25% SHY. You can do it! ID# Portfolio Name YTD Return P2 Paul Boyer [...]

Lazy Portfolios Thru June 2010

Sunday, July 04, 2010 9:23:10 AM
We have arrived at mid-year 2010 and can now take a look at the half-year results of the lazy portfolios we have been tracking. It looks like the Paul Boyer Permanent Portfolio has gained 1% per month this year. Just four of the portfolios are positive with three of them based around the Permanent Portfolio [...]

Permanent Portfolio volatility in May

Wednesday, June 02, 2010 3:54:59 PM
Dave sent this to me and said I could post it for all of you. Nice analysis of how the Permanent Portfolio did last month. Permanent Portfolio performance during the very volatile month of May This May was the worst May since 1940.  The Dow and VTI (total stock market) both had losses of -7.9%.  Volatility has returned to [...]

MMM-178: A Look Back, A Look Forward

Monday, May 31, 2010 6:50:15 PM
How have lazy portfolios performed so far in 2010? How do you get started investing in the Permanent Portfolio? I ENCOURAGE you to Download this show thru iTunes! But, if you just cannot deal with that then go ahead and Play the new show right now Topics in [...]

Lazy Portfolios Thru May 2010

Saturday, May 29, 2010 7:28:45 AM
Here are the Year-To-Date returns of the Lazy Portfolios through the end of May 2010. The components of each portfolio are listed at the end. The “Paul Boyer Permanent Portfolio” is my modification of the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio where instead of investing 25% in the total US stock market, we invest 12.5% in US [...]

Mark Hulbert Writes About the Permanent Portfolio

Wednesday, May 19, 2010 9:30:12 AM
In his MarketWatch article today, Mark Hulbert writes, Would you be interested in an all-weather portfolio that, despite hardly ever changing its composition, performs creditably in almost all market environments? Hulbert characterizes the Permanent Portfolio this way: Browne’s idea was to invest in a basket of asset classes, each one of which has a low correlation with the [...]

Present Permanent Portfolio Performance…

Friday, May 07, 2010 9:55:37 AM
So, how has the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio done so far in 2010? Thru yesterday’s market turmoil, the components have done the following: VTI +2.8% (Stocks) TLT +9.2% (Bonds) SHY +1.3% (Cash) GLD +10.4% (Gold) And the total portfolio, assuming 25% in each at the start of 2010 is… +5.9% How’s that compare with YOUR portfolio?

MMM-177: Harry Browne’s 16 Golden Rules of Financial Safety

Wednesday, May 05, 2010 11:41:40 AM
I present Harry Browne’s 16 Golden Rules of Financial Safety and talk about his Permanent Portfolio. I ENCOURAGE you to Download this show thru iTunes! But, if you just cannot deal with that then go ahead and Play the new show right now Topics in this week’s show include: Radiohead – No [...]

Permanent Portfolio Discussion Forum

Friday, April 30, 2010 10:07:25 AM
If you have any questions about Harry Browne’s Permanent Portfolio, head over to the Permanent Portfolio Discussion Forum that CraigR just started over at CrawlingRoad.com. Experts there have studied it from all angles and can help you get it implemented yourself. And here’s the book you need to read:

iPad Cat Teaches Investing

Saturday, April 24, 2010 3:02:07 PM
The latest video from MadMoneyMachine studios:

MMM-176: Things Are Messed UP

Friday, April 09, 2010 11:29:32 AM
Mulch Guy showed up. EPCOT Candy Lady. GURU MediumTex. Quotes. What’s UP with UP? Voiceover class. TOO: FireCalc. Bonus: iPad unboxing. I ENCOURAGE you to Download this show thru iTunes! But, if you just cannot deal with that then go ahead and Play the new show right now Topics in this [...]

IFA Radio Interviews John Bogle

Friday, April 09, 2010 7:08:04 AM
I put the video together for this audio interview with Vanguard Group founder John Bogle. I hope you like it.

Permanent Portfolio to Perfect Portfolio?

Wednesday, March 31, 2010 9:18:48 AM
Harry Browne’s Permanent Portfolio is so simple. Split your investments into equal parts stocks, bonds, cash, and gold. Is it too simple? Can it be improved yet remain simple? I used Simba’s spreadsheet (from Bogleheads.org) to back-test some alternatives from 1972 through 2009. First, the original portfolio: Stocks: VTSMX (Total US Stock Market) Bonds: VUSTX (Long-term Bond) Cash: VMPXX [...]

New Video: Super Nova to Black Hole

Wednesday, March 24, 2010 7:52:14 AM
It is truly surprising, amazing, astonishing to find out how poorly active managers do when compared to indexes. Watch this video:

New Video: Sweet Surrender

Wednesday, March 10, 2010 9:47:59 PM
Have a look at this video. It points out the importance of long-term data, the irrelevance of even reliable advice, the emphasis of trading by the financial media, and the wisdom of Nobel prize winners regarding investments. Oh, and don’t miss THE END-ing!

Harry Browne Investment Show Archives

Monday, March 08, 2010 8:06:22 AM
I have had a number of emails from people trying to get into the Harry Browne investment radio show archives. The links at the original site appear to be down, but fortunately Craig at CrawlingRoad blog has a mirror that you can use. I’ve recently listened to all 44 investment shows and am now going [...]

MMM-175: The Perfect Portfolio

Sunday, February 28, 2010 11:06:52 AM
Disney World in Feb. iPhone and earphones. Jakob Fugger. VBR, VWO, TLT, GLD, SHY: The Perfect Portfolio. Tool: My Personal Index. Lego Mindstorms. I ENCOURAGE you to Download this show thru iTunes! But, if you just cannot deal with that then go ahead and Play the new show right now Topics [...]

The Value of the Right Advisor

Saturday, February 13, 2010 1:47:33 PM
The voice sounds familiar…

MMM-174: Money Talk

Friday, January 29, 2010 12:18:54 PM
Harry Browne. Etymotic ear phones are sturdy. Sortino Ratio. GURU Richard Maybury. Broken Window Fallacy. Hybrid School Bus. Economics of Recycling. BRK/B split 50:1. Bing cashback. No deer. TOOL: Readability. I ENCOURAGE you to Download this show thru iTunes! But, if you just cannot deal with that then go ahead and Play [...]

It’s iPad!

Wednesday, January 27, 2010 3:42:47 PM
Just a quick post to review the predictions I made and how well they turned out. Name: iPad (Ding!) Size: 9.7″ (Ding! I said 10″) Form Factor: Basically a large iPod Touch (Ding!) Home Button? (Ding!) Aluminum back? (Ding!) Buttons and holes: headphone (Ding), microphone (Ding), volume (Ding), mute (Ding), sleep (Ding) USB port? (Bzzzt!) Only has Apple dock. But that serves [...]

MMM-173: iPad Predictions

Wednesday, January 13, 2010 12:08:38 PM
The devaluation in Venezuela. Lazy Portfolio analysis. The Riskcog.com portfolio analysis tool. iPad predictions. I ENCOURAGE you to Download this show thru iTunes! But, if you just cannot deal with that then go ahead and Play the new show right now Topics in this week’s show include: The devaluation of the bolivar in Venezuela. Randy Stonehill’s [...]

Time To Talk Tablet: iTablet, iSlate, iBook, iPad

Tuesday, January 12, 2010 9:57:32 PM
Take your pick of names but we are all awaiting the next holy product to be announced from Apple. After “The Jesus Phone” which had people literally weeping in their seats upon its unveiling, the Apple Table is set to be the next  revolutionary gadget that we didn’t realize we couldn’t live without. I have [...]

Longer Term Look at Gold in a Portfolio

Tuesday, January 12, 2010 5:39:52 AM
The previous post looked at the effect of gold in a portfolio for the 10-year period 1990-2009. Some may say that 10 years is not statistically long enough to be meaningful. So in this post I take a look at the 38 years from 1972 through 2009. To start, I selected a widely-followed portfolio of stocks [...]

Portfolios: Gold or No Gold?

Monday, January 11, 2010 2:51:47 PM
Should a portfolio own gold? I am on the quest to obtain the definitive answer to that question. Here are the results of one exercise in which I take a model Vanguard portfolio and compare it with the same portfolio with a 25% allocation to gold for the time period 1999 through 2009. Here is the [...]

Lazy Portfolio 2005 – 2009 Return vs. Risk Chart

Wednesday, January 06, 2010 4:55:55 PM
Let’s go back and gather up the gains for 2005 and 2006 to add to our analysis with this chart. As you can see, the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio still has the best “top-leftedness” of these select Lazy Portfolios. It had an annualized return of 8% with an annualized standard deviation of 8.8%. That results in [...]

MMM-172: The Year We Make Contact

Tuesday, January 05, 2010 12:23:48 PM
The Gift Card Store. Lazy Portfolios analyzed. Cheap Gas! 2010 (the movie). The tax on gold. End the Fed. I ENCOURAGE you to Download this show thru iTunes! But, if you just cannot deal with that then go ahead and Play the new show right now Topics in this week’s show include: Bruce Cockburn’s Making [...]

Risk vs Return Chart 2007 – 2009

Monday, January 04, 2010 5:59:27 PM
Here is a chart that sort of goes with the previous posting’s table. I have taken just a few of the portfolios of interest and computed their standard deviation for the time period of three years. Then plotted their ANNUALIZED return on the Y axis vs. their annualized standard deviation along the X axis. Remember that [...]

Lazy Portfolio Results for 3, 2 and 1 Years

Monday, January 04, 2010 12:24:08 PM
Here’s an early look at how the professional Lazy Portfolios have performed for the past 3, 2, and 1 years ending 31 December 2009. These are cumulative returns, with dividends reinvested. Data comes from Yahoo! Finance into my spreadsheet. There may be errors in the data. Some funds may not yet have reported dividends for [...]

MMM-171: Last Show of the Decade

Wednesday, December 16, 2009 3:54:09 PM
Tiger’s Song. Tool: EzBacktest. Scary movies. Impact of inflation on stock prices. Improved Permanent Portfolio? Paul Samuelson. I ENCOURAGE you to Download this show thru iTunes! But, if you just cannot deal with that then go ahead and Play the new show right now Topics in this week’s show include: Tiger’s Song. I predict he [...]

MMM-170: The Dollar Meltdown

Sunday, December 06, 2009 10:22:05 AM
Tiger Woods reads Physics book. Santa Got a Bailout. GoogleFinance’s closeyest attribute. Guru is Charles Goyette and his book Dollar Meltdown. I ENCOURAGE you to Download this show thru iTunes! But, if you just cannot deal with that then go ahead and Play the new show right now Topics in this week’s show include: Song: [...]

MMM-169: The Deer Hunter

Thursday, November 19, 2009 10:41:41 AM
Twenty hours in the woods. The Lost Symbol. The Lost Voice. Q-School. Gerald Celente. V. Big Break. Matrix. Mad Max. I ENCOURAGE you to Download this show thru iTunes! But, if you just cannot deal with that then go ahead and Play the new show right now Topics in this week’s show include: My tale [...]

MMM-168: Carry Trade

Wednesday, November 11, 2009 1:49:48 PM
Cramer’s 12 Stocks to Play in Recovery. Carry Trade and You. Wegman’s. Vitamin D3. Phil’s whiff. I ENCOURAGE you to Download this show thru iTunes! But, if you just cannot deal with that then go ahead and Play the new show right now Topics in this week’s show include: Cramer’s 12 Stocks to play in [...]

MMM-167: Mad Golfing Machine

Tuesday, November 03, 2009 5:26:48 PM
CNBC viewership plunges. Golf is like investing. Investing is like golf.  TOOLS I use daily. New China ETF. GURU Jim Rogers. I ENCOURAGE you to Download this show thru iTunes! But, if you just cannot deal with that then go ahead and Play the new show right now Topics in this week’s show include: CNBC [...]
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